The defending champions are given a 38.4% chance of winning a fourth successive title, ahead of Arsenal (26.3%) and Liverpool (23.9%). Manchester City remain favourites, though they have gone from odds-on to odds-against in recent weeks after having their poorest six-game run under Pep Guardiola. It is rare to come from so far back to win the title. As they finished seventh last season, this is understandable. The average of odds from over 20 bookmakers imply that Aston Villa - who may be top on Christmas Day 2023 - have just a 6.4% chance of winning the league. The leading Premier League betting sites are making it a three-horse race for the title this season, yet one of the current top three is not one of the market leaders. Three Horse Race For The 2023-24 Premier League Title? Spread betting losses can exceed deposit. They know it, and so do the teams ahead of them at this stage. In that instance they reeled in Liverpool, just as they did in 2018/19 when the Reds were four points clear on Christmas Day.Ĭity have not looked at their best this season but being adrift of the leaders at this stage will not overly concern them when they have repeatedly roared back to take the title in seasons past. It was similar two years earlier, as the pandemic had led the 2020/21 season to begin late, but the outcome was largely the same in that City were not top on December 25 but were when all 38 matches had been played.

The mid-season World Cup last year ensured only 14 or 15 matches had been played by Christmas, meaning 2022/23 was an unusual case. Last season provides an excellent example, as Arsenal were five points clear of City yet finished the campaign that same margin behind the Citizens. Secondly, the Premier League leaders at Christmas have repeatedly failed to lift the title in recent times. 1 Free Bet offer per customer, household & IP address only. Free Bet applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet.

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